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Pre-election snapshot · connecting to results
Connecting to resultsForecast · Nov 3
Data status
Feeds
Connecting
Historical turnout available
333 of 506 races

U.S. map

Featured race in each state

Alabama: AL · District 2, forecast D +3.1. 9 races. Select state.ALAlaska: Alaska · Senate, forecast D +0.4. 3 races. Select state.AKArizona: AZ · District 1, forecast D +5.3. 10 races. Select state.AZArkansas: AR · District 2, forecast R +5.6. 6 races. Select state.ARCalifornia: CA · District 48, forecast D +7.0. 53 races. Select state.CAColorado: CO · District 4, forecast R +2.3. 10 races. Select state.COConnecticut: CT · District 5, forecast D +18.0. 6 races. Select state.CTDelaware: Delaware · Senate, forecast D +24.8. 2 races. Select state.DEFlorida: Florida · Senate, forecast R +5.5. 30 races. Select state.FLGeorgia: Georgia · Senate, forecast D +9.1. 16 races. Select state.GAHawaii: Hawaii · Governor, forecast D +29.2. 3 races. Select state.HIIdaho: ID · District 2, forecast R +21.8. 4 races. Select state.IDIllinois: Illinois · Senate, forecast D +15.0. 19 races. Select state.ILIndiana: IN · District 5, forecast R +4.7. 9 races. Select state.INIowa: Iowa · Senate, forecast R +0.6. 6 races. Select state.IAKansas: Kansas · Senate, forecast D +3.2. 6 races. Select state.KSKentucky: KY · District 6, forecast R +1.4. 7 races. Select state.KYLouisiana: Louisiana · Senate, forecast R +12.5. 7 races. Select state.LAMaine: Maine · Senate, forecast D +5.7. 4 races. Select state.MEMaryland: MD · District 1, forecast R +11.6. 9 races. Select state.MDMassachusetts: MA · District 9, forecast D +24.2. 11 races. Select state.MAMichigan: Michigan · Senate, forecast D +5.6. 15 races. Select state.MIMinnesota: Minnesota · Senate, forecast D +4.8. 10 races. Select state.MNMississippi: Mississippi · Senate, forecast R +7.8. 5 races. Select state.MSMissouri: MO · District 2, forecast R +0.2. 8 races. Select state.MOMontana: MT · District 1, forecast D +4.6. 3 races. Select state.MTNebraska: Nebraska · Senate, forecast R +4.1. 5 races. Select state.NENevada: NV · District 2, forecast R +6.0. 5 races. Select state.NVNew Hampshire: New Hampshire · Senate, forecast D +9.2. 4 races. Select state.NHNew Jersey: NJ · District 2, forecast R +8.3. 13 races. Select state.NJNew Mexico: New Mexico · Governor, forecast D +11.8. 5 races. Select state.NMNew York: NY · District 21, forecast R +5.5. 27 races. Select state.NYNorth Carolina: North Carolina · Senate, forecast D +11.3. 15 races. Select state.NCNorth Dakota: ND · At-large, forecast R +27.9. 1 race. Select state.NDOhio: Ohio · Senate, forecast D +3.3. 17 races. Select state.OHOklahoma: OK · District 5, forecast R +10.3. 7 races. Select state.OKOregon: Oregon · Governor, forecast D +7.4. 8 races. Select state.ORPennsylvania: PA · District 7, forecast D +8.2. 18 races. Select state.PARhode Island: Rhode Island · Governor, forecast D +21.7. 4 races. Select state.RISouth Carolina: South Carolina · Senate, forecast R +2.4. 9 races. Select state.SCSouth Dakota: South Dakota · Governor, forecast R +14.8. 3 races. Select state.SDTennessee: Tennessee · Governor, forecast R +17.3. 11 races. Select state.TNTexas: Texas · Senate, forecast D +1.9. 40 races. Select state.TXUtah: UT · District 2, forecast R +12.6. 4 races. Select state.UTVermont: Vermont · Governor, forecast D +8.1. 2 races. Select state.VTVirginia: VA · District 1, forecast D +0.7. 12 races. Select state.VAWashington: WA · District 3, forecast D +6.5. 10 races. Select state.WAWest Virginia: WV · District 2, forecast R +30.4. 3 races. Select state.WVWisconsin: WI · District 1, forecast D +0.7. 9 races. Select state.WIWyoming: Wyoming · Senate, forecast R +37.1. 3 races. Select state.WY
D aheadR aheadEven / no data
Forecasts · includes pre-election estimates
Awaiting results
Races leading
D —R —
Awaiting results connection
Pre-election forecast
DR75.7%D control chance
Awaiting results
Races leading
D —R —
Awaiting results connection
Pre-election forecast
DR99.7%D control chance
Awaiting results
Races leading
D —R —
Awaiting results connection
Pre-election forecast
22D favored14R favored

Pre-election forecast · Nov 3 · experimental

Prediction markets

Prices shown separately from our forecast.

Senate

Chamber control

Kalshi

Connecting
Democratic
—No accepted price
Bid —Ask —
Republican
—No accepted price
Bid —Ask —
Reported volume—
No accepted market response
Contract link unavailable

Polymarket

Connecting
Democratic
—No accepted price
Bid —Ask —
Republican
—No accepted price
Bid —Ask —
Reported volume—
No accepted market response
Contract link unavailable

House

Chamber control

Kalshi

Connecting
Democratic
—No accepted price
Bid —Ask —
Republican
—No accepted price
Bid —Ask —
Reported volume—
No accepted market response
Contract link unavailable

Polymarket

Connecting
Democratic
—No accepted price
Bid —Ask —
Republican
—No accepted price
Bid —Ask —
Reported volume—
No accepted market response
Contract link unavailable
How to read market prices

These are contract prices, not our forecast probabilities. Each side is reported independently and may not add to 100%. “Checked” is when the feed was successfully read; a provider update is not necessarily the time of the last trade. Bid and ask show quoted prices when supplied. Volume retains each provider’s reported unit.

Battlegrounds 83

How races are selected

Our pre-election forecast and direct race polling set the watchlist. Senate and governor races are within 12 points; House races are within 15. Senate races prioritize recent independent polling coverage. House races prioritize seats won by 5 points or less in 2024 where district boundaries are comparable. Governor races sort by forecast margin. Early vote totals do not rearrange this list.

Senate 15 races

House 50 races

Governors 18 races

Margins in percentage points · Forecasts uncalibrated